Decision Framer

Prompt Refiner

Turns a vague request into an executable brief without silently inventing missing requirements.

Meeting to Actions

Converts messy notes into decisions, owned actions, deadlines and unresolved questions.

Agent Charter

Write a one-page charter for an AI agent or bot staff member: one job, anti-jobs, what needs human approval, what is never allowed, and how it proves work

Calibrated Forecasting

Turn a vague prediction or unstated confidence level into an explicit, calibrated probability estimate, using superforecasting practices — breaking questions into sub-questions, checking base rates, updating in small increments as new information arrives, and tracking predictions against outcomes

Decision Memo

Structure a real, consequential decision as a written narrative memo — full sentences and paragraphs rather than bullet points, forcing the logic to be checked rather than gestured at, plus explicit classification of whether the decision is reversible (a "two-way door") or not (a "one-way door")

Teachback

Test and build genuine understanding of a concept using teachback — explain it as simply as possible, notice exactly where the simple explanation breaks down, and treat that break point as the thing to actually go learn

First Principles

Rebuild a problem from fundamental truths (physics, economics, unit costs, what's actually true regardless of convention) rather than by analogy to how things are normally done

Focus and Tradeoffs

Cut a bloated plan, roadmap, or list of priorities down to the one or two things that actually matter — real focus means saying no to a thousand things

Jobs to Be Done

Diagnose what "job" a customer is actually hiring a product, service, or workaround to do, using the Jobs-to-be-Done framework — progress in a specific circumstance, forces of progress, switch interview, job statements, and desired-outcome scoring

Mental Models

Apply a latticework of cross-disciplinary thinking tools (inversion, second-order effects, incentives, circle of competence, opportunity cost, base rates) to frame a vague or general problem

Moat Analysis

Assess whether a competitive advantage is durable (a real "moat") or temporary, by checking it against the standard sources of durable advantage — switching costs, network effects, economies of scale, brand/trust, and regulatory or IP protection — rather than taking "we're ahead right now" at face value

Negotiation Prep

Prepare for a high-stakes negotiation or hard conversation using tactical-empathy techniques — labeling emotions, calibrated open-ended questions, mirroring, and getting to genuine "that's right" rather than a grudging "yes."

Postmortem / Retro

Extract a specific, reusable lesson after something succeeded or failed, following the principle that pain plus reflection equals progress — outcomes only compound into better judgment if they're deliberately converted into a written, checkable lesson rather than just felt and moved past

Premortem

Run a premortem — imagine a plan has already failed and work backward to explain why, which surfaces risks that forward planning misses because it counteracts the social and psychological pressure to seem confident